I think you're right on with this prediction. All of us who have played in weekly tournaments see someone "suck" out with some crazy card plays that we feel even a novice would toss away.

The luck factor is just too great with all these players. Watch out for Phil Hellmuth knocking his head on the floor when some new no-named player beats him on the river with a 4 to make a pair with his 10-4 unsuited against Hellmuths AK suited.